
Warsh’s Fed Didn’t Hike, But It Moved the Market’s Rate Ceiling
The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, but the market reaction has been driven by a hawkish shift in projections.
Federal Reserve, ECB, BoJ. Inflation, employment, geopolitics, and trade. The big picture above asset classes.

The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, but the market reaction has been driven by a hawkish shift in projections.

The financial markets are bracing for a pivotal week, following the Federal Reserve's hawkish tone at its June 17, 2026, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

The Federal Reserve's June 16-17, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, concluding with an announcement on June 17, 2026, marked a significant

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on June 17, 2026, concluded with the Federal Reserve maintaining its target range for the federal funds rate

The Federal Reserve's latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, concluding on June 17, 2026, proved to be a pivotal moment for market expectations

The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75% on June 17, 2026, but the decision itself was almost beside the point.

Bitcoin (BTC) staged a notable rebound this week, pushing towards the $66,000 mark as markets reacted to two significant catalysts: a reported ceasefire

The Federal Reserve wrapped its two-day June 16–17 FOMC meeting today by holding the federal funds rate in the 3.50%–3.75% range, consistent with the effective

The FOMC opens its June 2026 meeting today, with a rate hold near-certain at 3.50–3.75%.

The May Consumer Price Index (CPI) unexpectedly climbed to 4.2% year-over-year, driven by energy costs, shifting market expectations from anticipated rate cuts

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain its Federal Funds rate at 3.63% during the June 16-17, 2026 FOMC meeting, despite May's CPI surging to 4.2%

May's Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped 4.2% year-on-year, the fastest annual pace in over a year, alongside a 6.5% rise in the Producer Price Index (PPI).
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